Betting pick: Breece Hall projected to clear 57.5 rushing yards as Jets face Bills
New York Post betting analysis backs the over on Hall’s Week 2 rushing line after a strong Week 1 showing and Buffalo’s porous run defense
The New York Post’s betting analysis recommends wagering on New York Jets running back Breece Hall to exceed his Week 2 rushing total of 57.5 yards, a line listed at -115 at BetMGM Sportsbook. Oddsmakers set the over/under at 57.5 yards after Hall ran for 107 yards in the Jets’ season-opening loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Jets coaches and analysts pointed to the ground attack in Week 1 as a foundation to build on. New York amassed 182 rushing yards against the Steelers — the third-most by any team in Week 1 — in a game that featured quarterback-runner elements on offense and heavy work for Hall out of the backfield.
Buffalo’s run defense showed vulnerability in its own opener. In a comeback win over the Baltimore Ravens, the Bills surrendered 238 rushing yards on 29 carries, an average of 8.2 yards per attempt, as Lamar Jackson and the Ravens’ rushing attack produced multiple explosive runs. New York Post analysis noted the Bills’ Week 1 struggles against a quarterback-running back combo that operates in a way comparable to the Jets’ early-season approach.
Hall’s recent history against Buffalo further informs the betting angle. In 2024, Hall totaled 158 rushing yards across two games versus the Bills. The combination of his Week 1 production, his past success against Buffalo and the Bills’ Week 1 rush allowance underpins the New York Post pick of Hall to clear 57.5 yards.
Analysts caution that matchup context and game scripts will influence Hall’s opportunities. The Jets’ ground game flourished in a contest that still ended in a two-point loss, and Buffalo’s rush defense allowed multiple long runs in its win, including several gains of 10 yards or more. Oddsmakers appear to be tempering expectations with a sub-60-yard line for Hall, setting the market at 57.5 yards.
The recommendation and line were published as part of the New York Post’s Week 1 player-prop coverage by writer Dylan Svoboda. The Post’s analysis highlights the Jets’ Week 1 rushing totals, Hall’s individual workload, and Buffalo’s early-season susceptibility to sustained rushing attacks as the primary factors supporting the over.
Bets on player props should consider game flow, expected offensive scripts and injury reports leading up to kickoff. The Jets and Bills are AFC East rivals, and their defensive and offensive adjustments through the week will determine how heavily New York leans on Hall on early downs and in short-yardage situations. Bettors using the New York Post guidance and the BetMGM price will be wagering that those factors align to give Hall at least 58 yards on the ground.