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The Express Gazette
Tuesday, March 17, 2026

Falcons vs. Vikings: Drake London projected to exceed 71.5 receiving yards on Sunday Night Football

High target share and renewed chemistry with Michael Penix Jr., plus Vikings defensive concerns, drive the player-prop pick

Sports 6 months ago
Falcons vs. Vikings: Drake London projected to exceed 71.5 receiving yards on Sunday Night Football

Drake London is the focal point of a prominent player-prop recommendation for Sunday Night Football, with a betting line set at over 71.5 receiving yards (-110 at bet365 Sportsbook). Oddsmakers and analysts point to London’s heavy target share and an emerging connection with Falcons quarterback Michael Penix Jr. as reasons to expect a rebound after a modest Week 1 output.

London’s 2025 season began with eight catches for 55 yards before he left the Falcons’ opener early with a shoulder issue. The former first-round pick, who was medically cleared to play on Friday, still drew 15 targets in that game — a 35.7 percent target share — a volume that would have ranked as one of his heaviest single-game target totals in 2024, when he enjoyed a career year.

The case for London rests largely on his rapport with Penix. In Penix’s three starts last season, London compiled 352 receiving yards on 22 catches with two touchdowns and a 39 percent target share, indicating he was a primary focal point in the passing game when Penix was under center. Those usage patterns have continued into 2025, with London regularly seeing a disproportionate share of targets relative to other Falcons receivers.

Defensive matchups also inform the pick. Minnesota’s defense surrendered 198 passing yards to Chicago rookie Caleb Williams in Week 1; analysts noted that figure could have been higher had Williams connected on several late downfield opportunities. The Vikings will also be without linebacker Andrew Van Ginkel, who entered concussion protocol after Monday’s game, removing one of their more disruptive players from the defensive front and potentially creating more favorable matchups for Atlanta’s passing attack.

Falcons coaching staff and personnel decisions have emphasized getting London involved early, and bettors have keyed on his target volume as a leading indicator for yardage outcomes. Even with the shoulder scare, the confidence shown by clearing him to play and the 15 targets in the opener suggest Atlanta intends to keep feeding him in pivotal passing situations.

Bookmakers have reflected that sentiment in the market for Sunday night. The over 71.5 receiving yards line implies expectations that London will translate his target share into yards despite the recent injury. The figure also aligns with his role as a primary receiver in two-tight-end and three-receiver sets that the Falcons have used to get Penix favorable looks downfield.

The matchup, health statuses and recent usage patterns form the core rationale behind the prop recommendation. London’s Week 1 target volume and demonstrated chemistry with Penix are viewed as the most concrete predictors of an improved statistical outing against a Vikings secondary that showed vulnerabilities in the season opener.


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