Giants-Commanders Week 1: New York Post backs Tyrone Tracy Jr. over 49.5 rushing yards
Weak Washington run defense and Tracy’s past production make the Giants’ sophomore back a favored Week 1 player prop
The New York Post projects New York Giants running back Tyrone Tracy Jr. to top 49.5 rushing yards in Week 1 against the Washington Commanders, listing the prop at -120 at BetMGM.
The pick is rooted in Washington’s struggles against the run in 2024 and Tracy’s history of production when he has been the lead back. The Commanders allowed 143.4 rushing yards per game and five yards per carry last season, marks that were the second-worst in the league, and the Giants believe their backfield can exploit that weakness.
Tracy had a 66-yard rushing performance on 16 carries against Washington in Week 9 last season, his only start versus the Commanders. He finished the 2024 regular season with seven games of more than 49.5 rushing yards in 12 starts, a sample New York Post analyst Dylan Svoboda cited when recommending the play.
The Giants enter the season with additional backfield options, including Devin Singletary and Cam Skattebo, but oddsmakers’ modest line reflects the expectation that Tracy will handle a significant share of early-down work. The New York Post noted that an improved offensive outlook under new starting quarterback Russell Wilson could create more established rushing opportunities and fewer early-game pass attempts driven by trailing game scripts.
Washington’s front office did address run defense in the offseason, adding defensive linemen Javon Kinlaw, Eddie Goldman and Deatrich Wise. Those signings aim to bolster the interior, but none of the moves have yet produced measurable results in game conditions, and the unit’s 2024 metrics remain a principal factor behind the betting angle.
Tracy’s Week 9 performance and his overall 2024 efficiency inform the projection. The Giants faced the Commanders twice last season and were competitive in both meetings, providing additional context for expecting a workmanlike rushing effort to open the 2025 campaign.
The New York Post’s recommendation is framed as a single-game player prop rather than a guarantee; betting lines and player availability can change with injury reports and final inactives lists. The pick reflects the convergence of matchup statistics, Tracy’s tendency to exceed the proposed mark in more than half of his starts last year, and New York’s potential for a steadier rushing attack under Wilson.
The betting selection was published by Dylan Svoboda, a New York Post analyst who covers major professional sports. Bettors considering the wager should monitor final line movement and the teams’ official injury reports before placing action.
